Loading…
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is projected to rise to $14.22 by 2027, a +10% move from its current price of $12.88. NCDL is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean buy.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 7/12/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13 | $12.70 | $12.88 | $13.07 | 0.00% |
| Jul 14 | $12.62 | $12.88 | $13.14 | 0.00% |
| Jul 15 | $12.57 | $12.88 | $13.20 | +0.01% |
| Jul 16 | $12.52 | $12.88 | $13.25 | +0.01% |
| Jul 17 | $12.48 | $12.88 | $13.30 | +0.01% |
| Jul 18 | $12.44 | $12.88 | $13.34 | +0.01% |
| Jul 19 | $12.40 | $12.88 | $13.38 | +0.02% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $12.40 | $12.88 | $13.38 | +0.02% |
| Week 2 | $12.21 | $12.88 | $13.59 | +0.03% |
| Week 3 | $12.07 | $12.89 | $13.76 | +0.05% |
| Week 4 | $11.95 | $12.89 | $13.90 | +0.06% |
| Week 5 | $11.84 | $12.89 | $14.03 | +0.08% |
| Week 6 | $11.75 | $12.89 | $14.14 | +0.10% |
| Week 7 | $11.67 | $12.89 | $14.25 | +0.11% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. is a business development company that was formed on March 13, 2018, as a limited liability company under the laws of the State of Delaware and was converted into a Maryland corporation on June 18, 2019 prior to the commencement of operations.
The Company is a closed-end, externally managed, non-diversified management investment company that has elected to be regulated as a business development company (BDC) under the Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended.
Its investment objective is to generate attractive risk-adjusted returns primarily through current income by investing primarily in senior secured loans to private equity-owned U.S. middle market companies, which the Company defines as companies with approximately $10.0 million to $100.0 million of EBITDA. The Company will focus on privately originated debt to performing U.S.
middle market companies, with a portfolio expected to comprise primarily of first-lien senior secured debt and unitranche loans (other than last-out positions in unitranche loans) (collectively “Senior Loans”). The Company will also opportunistically invest in junior capital opportunities (second-lien loans, subordinated debt, last-out positions in unitranche loans and equity-related securities) (collectively “Junior Capital Investments”).
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending, symbol NCDL, is currently priced at $13.00 per share with a market capitalization of $629.19M and a rank of 5269.
The 30-day price range is $11.81 to $14.31, reflecting the near-term trading band and current market activity.
Forecasts show a continuing upward trajectory in value, with the 2026 average price at $13.00 and the 2050 average at $89.14, alongside rising max prices through the forecast horizon.
The forecast also delineates growing upside, with max values reaching $16.07 in 2026 and $145.78 by 2050, and ROI progressing from 0 in 2026 to 585.7 by 2050, indicating a bullish long-term path.
A major floor 11.0% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
The nearest floor, 6.2% below — buyers have tended to step in here.
The nearest ceiling, 4.1% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 15.1% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key NCDL support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of NCDL market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $12.68 | Buy | $12.72 | Buy |
| MA 10 | $12.69 | Buy | $12.66 | Buy |
| MA 20 | $12.54 | Buy | $12.67 | Buy |
| MA 50 | $13.05 | Sell | $12.92 | Sell |
| MA 100 | $13.27 | Sell | $13.23 | Sell |
| MA 200 | $13.65 | Sell | $13.80 | Sell |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 53.72 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 94.39 | Sell |
| CCI (20) | 105.78 | Buy |
| Williams %R (14) | -13.04 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | 0.07 | Buy |
| ROC (12) | 5.40 | Buy |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.84 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 86.96 | Sell |
| TRIX (15) | -0.15 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | -0.02 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 73.07 | Sell |
| Momentum (10) | 0.45 | Buy |
| Aroon Osc (25) | 20.00 | Buy |
| Hull MA (9) | 12.71 | Buy |
| ADX (14) | 12.72 | Neutral |
| ATR (14) | 0.17 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture is NEUTRAL.
RSI14 is 50, with the SMA50 at $13.30 and the SMA200 at $13.74, suggesting a balance near the recent price. Support is noted at $12.08 and resistance at $13.41, framing a narrow near-term band.
The 30-day range spans $11.81 to $14.31, and annualized volatility is 30.0%.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $12.08 | $12.88 | $15.95 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $11.65 | $14.22 | $18.16 | +10% | Neutral | |
| $13.67 | $17.00 | $22.29 | +32% | Bullish | |
| $15.81 | $19.97 | $26.74 | +55% | Bullish | |
| $16.85 | $21.57 | $29.40 | +67% | Bullish | |
| $18.67 | $24.19 | $33.49 | +88% | Bullish | |
| $19.00 | $24.89 | $34.96 | +93% | Bullish | |
| $19.28 | $25.54 | $36.33 | +98% | Bullish | |
| $21.41 | $28.64 | $41.23 | +122% | Bullish | |
| $23.72 | $32.03 | $46.62 | +149% | Bullish | |
| $32.49 | $45.75 | $69.79 | +255% | Bullish | |
| $63.96 | $96.59 | $157.93 | +650% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | $12.08 | $12.88 | $15.46 | +0.00% |
| August 2026 | $11.06 | $12.94 | $15.48 | +0.48% |
| September 2026 | $10.97 | $12.91 | $15.55 | -0.27% |
| October 2026 | $11.20 | $13.23 | $16.04 | +2.47% |
| November 2026 | $11.17 | $13.24 | $16.15 | +0.12% |
| December 2026 | $10.94 | $13.01 | $15.95 | -1.74% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month NCDL forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
Expect NCDL to range from $12.08 to $15.95 through 2026. The $12.88 average target implies a 0% move from current prices. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
The NCDL price prediction for 2027 points to an average of $14.22 (low $11.65, high $18.16) — a potential gain of +10% on today's $12.88. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
In 2028, NCDL is projected to trade between $13.67 and $22.29, averaging $17.00 — a potential gain of +32% from today's $12.88. That is up +20% on the projected 2027 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s 2029 outlook centres on $19.97, within a $15.81 to $26.74 range. That is up +17% on the projected 2028 average. That marks a +55% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
By 2030, NCDL could reach as high as $29.40, with a base case around $21.57 and support toward $16.85 — roughly +67% from $12.88. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect NCDL to range from $18.67 to $33.49 through 2031. The $24.19 average target implies a +88% move from current prices. That is up +12% on the projected 2030 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The NCDL price prediction for 2032 points to an average of $24.89 (low $19.00, high $34.96) — a potential gain of +93% on today's $12.88. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2033, NCDL is projected to trade between $19.28 and $36.33, averaging $25.54 — a potential gain of +98% from today's $12.88. That is up +3% on the projected 2032 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp.'s 2034 outlook centres on $28.64, within a $21.41 to $41.23 range. That is up +12% on the projected 2033 average. That marks a +122% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2035, NCDL could reach as high as $46.62, with a base case around $32.03 and support toward $23.72 — roughly +149% from $12.88. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Expect NCDL to range from $32.49 to $69.79 through 2040. The $45.75 average target implies a +255% move from current prices. That is up +43% on the projected 2035 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The NCDL price prediction for 2050 points to an average of $96.59 (low $63.96, high $157.93) — a potential gain of +650% on today's $12.88. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Investing $1,000 in NCDL today (≈ 77.639752 NCDL) could be worth
$7,499.19
+$6,499.19 (+650%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected NCDL price of $96.59 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in NCDLwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in NCDL on Jul 10, 2025 (≈ 58.788947 NCDL) would be worth
$757.2
-$242.8 (-24.3%) today · 0.76× · US Dollar
Based on a NCDL entry price of $17.01 vs. today's $12.88.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $12.68 | $1,015.77 | +1.6% |
| 1 month ago | $12.85 | $1,002.33 | +0.2% |
| 3 months ago | $13.47 | $956.2 | -4.4% |
| 6 months ago | $13.48 | $955.49 | -4.5% |
| 1 year ago | $17.01 | $757.2 | -24.3% |
| All time (2.5y) ago | $17.85 | $721.57 | -27.8% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our NCDL forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $26.00 around 2034.
Implied market cap at $26.00: $1.28B
The multi-year forecast presents a progressive rise in the average price from 2026 through 2050, with clear bullish implications.
Key milestones include 2026 avg $13.00 (min $12.08, max $16.07) and 2027 avg $14.39; 2028 avg $16.56; 2029 avg $19.50; 2030 avg $21.20; 2040 avg $42.35; 2050 avg $89.14. The cumulative ROI climbs from 0 in 2026 to 585.7 by 2050, with intermediate values of 10.7 (2027), 27.4 (2028), 50 (2029), 63.1 (2030), 78.7 (2031), 84.3 (2032), 88.7 (2033), 107.7 (2034), and 134.3 (2035), 225.7 (2040).
Sentiment improves to BULLISH for the later years, reinforcing the longer-run upside despite the inherent uncertainty in any forecast.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
Avg $21.20; min $16.56; max $28.92; ROI 63.1; sentiment BULLISH.
Forecast shows a rising path from 2026 onward, with 2026 avg $13.00 and 2050 avg $89.14; ROI progresses to 585.7 by 2050. Note that 2026 ROI is 0 and these are estimates, not guarantees.
2040 max is $64.61; 2050 max $145.78, so $100 is not projected to be reached by 2040.
$629.19M.
Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Community Discussion
0Share your Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. price prediction and read what the community thinks. Be respectful — comments are public and not financial advice.
Be the first to share your prediction…
What's your take? Add a comment above to start the conversation.