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Meritage Homes Corporation is projected to rise to $87.02 by 2027, a +15% move from its current price of $75.50. MTH is currently trading above its 50-day average (a bullish sign). Technical indicators currently lean buy.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 7/12/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13 | $73.90 | $75.55 | $77.24 | +0.07% |
| Jul 14 | $73.28 | $75.60 | $78.00 | +0.14% |
| Jul 15 | $72.82 | $75.66 | $78.60 | +0.21% |
| Jul 16 | $72.44 | $75.71 | $79.12 | +0.28% |
| Jul 17 | $72.12 | $75.76 | $79.59 | +0.35% |
| Jul 18 | $71.83 | $75.81 | $80.02 | +0.42% |
| Jul 19 | $71.57 | $75.87 | $80.42 | +0.49% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $71.57 | $75.87 | $80.42 | +0.49% |
| Week 2 | $70.20 | $76.24 | $82.79 | +0.98% |
| Week 3 | $69.25 | $76.61 | $84.75 | +1.47% |
| Week 4 | $68.50 | $76.98 | $86.51 | +1.96% |
| Week 5 | $67.89 | $77.35 | $88.13 | +2.46% |
| Week 6 | $67.38 | $77.73 | $89.67 | +2.95% |
| Week 7 | $66.94 | $78.11 | $91.14 | +3.46% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Meritage Homes Corporation designs and builds single-family attached and detached homes in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Homebuilding and Financial Services. It acquires and develops land; and constructs, markets, and sells homes for entry-level and first move-up buyers in Arizona, California, Colorado, Utah, Texas, Alabama, Florida, Georgia, Mississippi, North Carolina, South Carolina, and Tennessee.
The company also provides title and escrow, mortgage, insurance, title insurance, and closing/settlement services to its homebuyers.
Meritage Homes Corporation was founded in 1985 and is based in Scottsdale, Arizona. It is categorized in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Meritage Homes Corporation (MTH) sits in the Consumer Cyclical sector and is publicly traded. The current price is $74.58 with a market cap of $4.98B, and it is ranked 1363 by market capitalization.
The forecast presents a path of rising averages beyond 2026, beginning with 2026 at an average of $74.58 and moving to higher levels in subsequent years: 2027 $84.42, 2028 $94.77, 2029 $120.01, 2030 $132.86, 2040 $265.47, and 2050 $605.50 on average, with corresponding max values reaching up to $1,059.23 by 2050. The sentiment shifts from NEUTRAL in the near term to BULLISH in the longer term.
A major floor 26.7% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
The nearest floor, 13.6% below — buyers have tended to step in here.
The nearest ceiling, 12.8% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 26.2% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key MTH support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of MTH market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $76.64 | Sell | $76.68 | Sell |
| MA 10 | $80.00 | Sell | $77.81 | Sell |
| MA 20 | $77.99 | Sell | $76.85 | Sell |
| MA 50 | $70.36 | Buy | $72.91 | Buy |
| MA 100 | $68.89 | Buy | $70.85 | Buy |
| MA 200 | $69.80 | Buy | $70.70 | Buy |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 49.52 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 7.19 | Buy |
| CCI (20) | -42.75 | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -91.32 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | -1.11 | Sell |
| ROC (12) | -0.13 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.35 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 8.68 | Buy |
| TRIX (15) | 0.66 | Buy |
| Awesome (5,34) | 3.07 | Buy |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 29.37 | Buy |
| Momentum (10) | -7.84 | Sell |
| Aroon Osc (25) | 64.00 | Buy |
| Hull MA (9) | 73.54 | Buy |
| ADX (14) | 24.35 | Sell |
| ATR (14) | 1.55 | Info |
Near-term technical picture is NEUTRAL. The RSI(14) is 50, with the SMA50 at $70.14 and the SMA200 at $69.79.
Support is at $64.79 and resistance at $85.18. The 30-day price range runs from $63.93 to $87.00. Annualized volatility stands at 40%.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $58.76 | $75.50 | $104.40 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $70.51 | $87.02 | $112.80 | +15% | Neutral | |
| $77.83 | $98.19 | $131.26 | +30% | Bullish | |
| $96.63 | $124.15 | $170.01 | +64% | Bullish | |
| $106.12 | $138.54 | $193.62 | +83% | Bullish | |
| $114.15 | $151.19 | $215.11 | +100% | Bullish | |
| $119.09 | $159.86 | $231.15 | +112% | Bullish | |
| $122.57 | $166.62 | $244.46 | +121% | Bullish | |
| $132.97 | $182.92 | $272.02 | +142% | Bullish | |
| $143.12 | $199.14 | $299.87 | +164% | Bullish | |
| $195.78 | $286.66 | $455.07 | +280% | Bullish | |
| $412.67 | $658.37 | $1,129.67 | +772% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | $58.76 | $75.50 | $89.56 | +0.00% |
| August 2026 | $66.58 | $78.17 | $93.96 | +3.54% |
| September 2026 | $68.11 | $80.43 | $97.54 | +2.88% |
| October 2026 | $67.77 | $80.41 | $98.27 | -0.02% |
| November 2026 | $68.56 | $81.68 | $100.47 | +1.58% |
| December 2026 | $70.56 | $84.38 | $104.40 | +3.30% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month MTH forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
Expect MTH to range from $58.76 to $104.40 through 2026. The $75.50 average target implies a 0% move from current prices. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
The MTH price prediction for 2027 points to an average of $87.02 (low $70.51, high $112.80) — a potential gain of +15% on today's $75.50. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
In 2028, MTH is projected to trade between $77.83 and $131.26, averaging $98.19 — a potential gain of +30% from today's $75.50. That is up +13% on the projected 2027 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Meritage Homes Corporation's 2029 outlook centres on $124.15, within a $96.63 to $170.01 range. That is up +26% on the projected 2028 average. That marks a +64% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
By 2030, MTH could reach as high as $193.62, with a base case around $138.54 and support toward $106.12 — roughly +83% from $75.50. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect MTH to range from $114.15 to $215.11 through 2031. The $151.19 average target implies a +100% move from current prices. That is up +9% on the projected 2030 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The MTH price prediction for 2032 points to an average of $159.86 (low $119.09, high $231.15) — a potential gain of +112% on today's $75.50. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2033, MTH is projected to trade between $122.57 and $244.46, averaging $166.62 — a potential gain of +121% from today's $75.50. That is up +4% on the projected 2032 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Meritage Homes Corporation's 2034 outlook centres on $182.92, within a $132.97 to $272.02 range. That is up +10% on the projected 2033 average. That marks a +142% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2035, MTH could reach as high as $299.87, with a base case around $199.14 and support toward $143.12 — roughly +164% from $75.50. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Expect MTH to range from $195.78 to $455.07 through 2040. The $286.66 average target implies a +280% move from current prices. That is up +44% on the projected 2035 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The MTH price prediction for 2050 points to an average of $658.37 (low $412.67, high $1,129.67) — a potential gain of +772% on today's $75.50. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Investing $1,000 in MTH today (≈ 13.245033 MTH) could be worth
$8,720.13
+$7,720.13 (+772%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected MTH price of $658.37 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in MTHwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in MTH on Jul 10, 2025 (≈ 13.269639 MTH) would be worth
$1,001.86
+$1.86 (+0.2%) today · 1.00× · US Dollar
Based on a MTH entry price of $75.36 vs. today's $75.5.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $81.86 | $922.31 | -7.8% |
| 1 month ago | $70.56 | $1,070.01 | +7.0% |
| 3 months ago | $66.55 | $1,134.49 | +13.4% |
| 6 months ago | $76.01 | $993.29 | -0.7% |
| 1 year ago | $75.36 | $1,001.86 | +0.2% |
| All time (5.0y) ago | $45.29 | $1,666.85 | +66.7% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our MTH forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $150.00 around 2031.
Implied market cap at $150.00: $10.01B
The multi-year forecast shows a stalled start in 2026 with an average of $74.58 and ROI of 0, then a clear ascent in subsequent years: 2027 average $84.42 with ROI 13.2, 2028 average $94.77 with ROI 27.1, and 2029 average $120.01 with ROI 60.9. By 2030 the average is $132.86 with ROI 78.1, followed by 2031 $144.68 (ROI 94), 2032 $152.17 (ROI 104), 2033 $156.80 (ROI 110.3), 2034 $172.04 (ROI 130.7), and 2035 $185.97 (ROI 149.4). The forecast continues to strengthen into 2040 with an average of $265.47 (ROI 255.9) and culminates in 2050 at an average of $605.50 (ROI 711.9), with a max of $1,059.23.
The sentiment across the timeline is NEUTRAL in 2026 and 2027, then BULLISH from 2028 onward. These figures are estimates and not guarantees; actual results can differ based on market conditions and other factors.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
Average price $132.86, min $100.93, max $187.61, ROI 78.1%, sentiment BULLISH.
The forecast shows rising averages after 2026, with 2027 average $84.42 (ROI 13.2), 2028 $94.77 (ROI 27.1), 2029 $120.01 (ROI 60.9), and 2050 $605.50 (ROI 711.9). Sentiment becomes BULLISH from 2028 onward, though these are estimates, not guarantees.
Yes, the max forecast for 2050 is $1,059.23.
Current price $74.58; market cap $4.98B; rank 1363; sector Consumer Cyclical.
Low $63.93, High $87.00.
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