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Churchill Downs Incorporated is projected to rise to $102.38 by 2027, a +20% move from its current price of $85.52. CHDN is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean strong sell.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 7/12/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 14 | $83.98 | $85.54 | $87.14 | +0.03% |
| Jul 15 | $83.36 | $85.57 | $87.83 | +0.05% |
| Jul 16 | $82.89 | $85.59 | $88.37 | +0.08% |
| Jul 17 | $82.51 | $85.61 | $88.84 | +0.11% |
| Jul 18 | $82.17 | $85.64 | $89.25 | +0.14% |
| Jul 19 | $81.87 | $85.66 | $89.63 | +0.16% |
| Jul 20 | $81.59 | $85.68 | $89.98 | +0.19% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $81.59 | $85.68 | $89.98 | +0.19% |
| Week 2 | $80.11 | $85.84 | $91.99 | +0.38% |
| Week 3 | $79.02 | $86.01 | $93.61 | +0.57% |
| Week 4 | $78.14 | $86.17 | $95.02 | +0.76% |
| Week 5 | $77.39 | $86.33 | $96.31 | +0.95% |
| Week 6 | $76.73 | $86.50 | $97.50 | +1.14% |
| Week 7 | $76.14 | $86.66 | $98.63 | +1.33% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Churchill Downs Incorporated operates live and historical racing entertainment venues, online wagering businesses, and regional casino gaming properties in the United States. It operates through three segments: Live and Historical Racing, Wagering Services and Solutions, and Gaming. The Live and Historical Racing segment engages in live and historical pari-mutuel racing related activities at Churchill Downs Racetrack and its historical racing properties in Kentucky, Virginia, and New Hampshire; provides racing event-related services, including admissions, personal seat licenses, sponsorships, television rights, and other miscellaneous services, as well as food and beverages services.
The Wagering Services and Solutions engages in pari-mutuel wagers through TwinSpires, which operates the online horse racing wagering business for TwinSpires.com, BetAmerica.com, and other white-label platforms; facilitates dollar wagering; provides the Bloodstock Research Information Services platform for horse racing statistical data; offers streaming video of live horse races, replays, and an assortment of racing and handicapping information; and provides technology services to third parties. This segment also operates retail and online sports betting businesses, United Tote, which manufactures and operates pari-mutuel wagering systems for racetracks, OTBs, and other pari-mutuel wagering businesses, and Exacta, which provides central determinant system technology in HRMs. The Gaming segment operates the casino properties and associated racetracks, which include slot machines, table games, video lottery terminals, video poker, HRMs, ancillary food and beverage services, hotel services, commission on pari-mutuel wagering, racing event-related services, and other miscellaneous operations.
Churchill Downs Incorporated was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Louisville, Kentucky.
Churchill Downs Incorporated (CHDN) currently trades at $90.87 and has a market capitalization of $6.33B, with a rank of 1150. The stock sits in a market with a current price around its 2026 forecast average, and the long-run forward outlook shows substantial upside potential according to the provided projections. The forecast sequence starts with a neutral 2026, then turns bullish in 2027 and accelerates meaningfully through 2030, 2040, and 2050, signaling a strong longer-term uptrend.
A major floor 7.7% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
Price is testing support right now (1.8% away) — a key level to hold.
The nearest ceiling, 7.9% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 18.7% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key CHDN support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of CHDN market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $86.48 | Sell | $86.46 | Sell |
| MA 10 | $88.19 | Sell | $87.14 | Sell |
| MA 20 | $87.77 | Sell | $87.53 | Sell |
| MA 50 | $88.36 | Sell | $88.43 | Sell |
| MA 100 | $89.15 | Sell | $90.63 | Sell |
| MA 200 | $95.93 | Sell | $94.96 | Sell |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 44.49 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 24.89 | Neutral |
| CCI (20) | -77.89 | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -77.78 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | -0.26 | Sell |
| ROC (12) | -0.93 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.25 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 22.22 | Neutral |
| TRIX (15) | -0.02 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | -0.94 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 35.25 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | 1.54 | Buy |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -28.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 84.69 | Buy |
| ADX (14) | 10.11 | Neutral |
| ATR (14) | 1.52 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture remains bullish overall. RSI(14) is 60, with the 50-day moving average at $89.60 and the 200-day moving average at $96.28, giving a framework of positive momentum. Support sits at $83.07 and resistance at $92.30, with the most recent 30-day range between $79.20 and $104.26. The stock shows an annualized volatility of 40%.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $83.07 | $85.52 | $108.15 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $83.85 | $102.38 | $130.69 | +20% | Neutral | |
| $96.75 | $120.36 | $157.79 | +41% | Bullish | |
| $103.93 | $131.27 | $175.77 | +54% | Bullish | |
| $103.36 | $132.32 | $180.36 | +55% | Bullish | |
| $109.33 | $141.67 | $196.16 | +66% | Bullish | |
| $114.01 | $149.41 | $209.82 | +75% | Bullish | |
| $118.45 | $156.85 | $223.13 | +83% | Bullish | |
| $138.72 | $185.53 | $267.07 | +117% | Bullish | |
| $150.35 | $202.98 | $295.45 | +137% | Bullish | |
| $190.47 | $268.21 | $409.11 | +214% | Bullish | |
| $352.89 | $532.95 | $871.41 | +523% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | $83.07 | $85.52 | $103.57 | +0.00% |
| August 2026 | $75.08 | $87.88 | $105.08 | +2.76% |
| September 2026 | $74.53 | $87.65 | $105.63 | -0.26% |
| October 2026 | $76.03 | $89.79 | $108.93 | +2.44% |
| November 2026 | $76.24 | $90.35 | $110.21 | +0.63% |
| December 2026 | $74.19 | $88.21 | $108.15 | -2.37% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month CHDN forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
In 2026, CHDN is projected to trade between $83.07 and $108.15, averaging $85.52 — a potential gain of 0% from today's $85.52. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
Churchill Downs Incorporated's 2027 outlook centres on $102.38, within a $83.85 to $130.69 range. That is up +20% on the projected 2026 average. That marks a +20% change versus current levels. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
By 2028, CHDN could reach as high as $157.79, with a base case around $120.36 and support toward $96.75 — roughly +41% from $85.52. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect CHDN to range from $103.93 to $175.77 through 2029. The $131.27 average target implies a +54% move from current prices. That is up +9% on the projected 2028 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The CHDN price prediction for 2030 points to an average of $132.32 (low $103.36, high $180.36) — a potential gain of +55% on today's $85.52. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2031, CHDN is projected to trade between $109.33 and $196.16, averaging $141.67 — a potential gain of +66% from today's $85.52. That is up +7% on the projected 2030 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Churchill Downs Incorporated's 2032 outlook centres on $149.41, within a $114.01 to $209.82 range. That is up +5% on the projected 2031 average. That marks a +75% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2033, CHDN could reach as high as $223.13, with a base case around $156.85 and support toward $118.45 — roughly +83% from $85.52. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Expect CHDN to range from $138.72 to $267.07 through 2034. The $185.53 average target implies a +117% move from current prices. That is up +18% on the projected 2033 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The CHDN price prediction for 2035 points to an average of $202.98 (low $150.35, high $295.45) — a potential gain of +137% on today's $85.52. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
In 2040, CHDN is projected to trade between $190.47 and $409.11, averaging $268.21 — a potential gain of +214% from today's $85.52. That is up +32% on the projected 2035 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Churchill Downs Incorporated's 2050 outlook centres on $532.95, within a $352.89 to $871.41 range. That is up +99% on the projected 2040 average. That marks a +523% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Investing $1,000 in CHDN today (≈ 11.693171 CHDN) could be worth
$6,231.86
+$5,231.86 (+523%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected CHDN price of $532.95 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in CHDNwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in CHDN on Jul 10, 2025 (≈ 9.363296 CHDN) would be worth
$800.75
-$199.25 (-19.9%) today · 0.80× · US Dollar
Based on a CHDN entry price of $106.8 vs. today's $85.52.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $90.91 | $940.71 | -5.9% |
| 1 month ago | $88.66 | $964.58 | -3.5% |
| 3 months ago | $87.48 | $977.59 | -2.2% |
| 6 months ago | $106.07 | $806.26 | -19.4% |
| 1 year ago | $106.8 | $800.75 | -19.9% |
| All time (5.0y) ago | $91.74 | $932.25 | -6.8% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our CHDN forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $170.00 around 2034.
Implied market cap at $170.00: $11.85B
The multi-year forecast points to a bullish path with rising averages and outsized upside in the outer years. In 2027 the average is projected at $114.06 with an ROI of 25.5 and bullish sentiment, followed by 2028 at $132.20 (ROI 45.5) and 2029 at $144.90 (ROI 59.5). By 2030 the average is $149.55 (ROI 64.6) with bullish sentiment continuing.
The outlook then climbs to 2040 with an average of $319.71 (ROI 251.8) and 2050 with an average of $641.90 (ROI 606.4), both labeled bullish. The forecast also provides higher potential highs (max values) for these years, culminating in a 2050 max of $1,082.31, underscoring substantial upside if the trajectory plays out. These are estimates and not guarantees, and actual results may differ.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
Avg $149.55; Min $115.35; Max $207.22; ROI 64.6; Sentiment BULLISH.
Yes, the forecast shows bullish sentiment from 2027 onward with rising averages and ROI up to 606.4 by 2050, though these are estimates and not guarantees.
The 2050 max is $1,082.31, suggesting it could reach above $1,000 by 2050 according to the projections.
Current price $90.87; Market cap $6.33B.
RSI(14) 60; SMA50 $89.60; SMA200 $96.28; Support $83.07; Resistance $92.30; 30-day range $79.20 to $104.26; Annualized volatility 40%.
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