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Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. is projected to rise to $15.45 by 2027, a +20% move from its current price of $12.86. BCSF is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean buy.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 7/12/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13 | $12.71 | $12.86 | $13.02 | +0.02% |
| Jul 14 | $12.65 | $12.87 | $13.09 | +0.04% |
| Jul 15 | $12.60 | $12.87 | $13.14 | +0.06% |
| Jul 16 | $12.56 | $12.87 | $13.19 | +0.08% |
| Jul 17 | $12.53 | $12.87 | $13.23 | +0.10% |
| Jul 18 | $12.50 | $12.88 | $13.26 | +0.12% |
| Jul 19 | $12.47 | $12.88 | $13.30 | +0.14% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $12.47 | $12.88 | $13.30 | +0.14% |
| Week 2 | $12.33 | $12.90 | $13.49 | +0.28% |
| Week 3 | $12.22 | $12.91 | $13.65 | +0.43% |
| Week 4 | $12.13 | $12.93 | $13.79 | +0.57% |
| Week 5 | $12.06 | $12.95 | $13.91 | +0.71% |
| Week 6 | $11.99 | $12.97 | $14.03 | +0.86% |
| Week 7 | $11.93 | $12.99 | $14.14 | +1.00% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc. (BCSF) is a business development company in the Financial Services sector that specializes in direct loans to middle-market companies. It targets senior investments with a first or second lien on collateral and may include senior first lien, stretch senior, senior second lien, unitranche, mezzanine debt, junior securities, and other junior investments, as well as secondary purchases of assets or portfolios that primarily consist of middle-market corporate debt.
The focus is on companies with EBITDA between $10 million and $150 million, forming the core of its middle-market lending strategy.
BCSF is currently trading at $12.37. Its market cap is $802.42M and it is ranked 2705. The 2026 forecast for the stock shows a min of $11.98, an avg of $12.37, and a max of $16.73, placing the current price at the forecast’s average for that year.
The longer-horizon outlook points to meaningful upside beyond 2026, with higher average prices projected through the 2030s and into the 2050s.
A major floor 11.7% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
The nearest floor, 6.8% below — buyers have tended to step in here.
The nearest ceiling, 3.8% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 10.0% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key BCSF support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of BCSF market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $12.67 | Buy | $12.68 | Buy |
| MA 10 | $12.59 | Buy | $12.61 | Buy |
| MA 20 | $12.48 | Buy | $12.62 | Buy |
| MA 50 | $13.01 | Sell | $12.80 | Buy |
| MA 100 | $12.89 | Sell | $13.02 | Sell |
| MA 200 | $13.40 | Sell | $13.50 | Sell |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 55.75 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 100.00 | Sell |
| CCI (20) | 117.57 | Buy |
| Williams %R (14) | 0.00 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | 0.08 | Buy |
| ROC (12) | 5.93 | Buy |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.86 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 100.00 | Sell |
| TRIX (15) | -0.18 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | -0.08 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 66.96 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | 0.82 | Buy |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -52.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 12.71 | Buy |
| ADX (14) | 13.80 | Neutral |
| ATR (14) | 0.13 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture is bearish in tone. RSI14 is 40, indicating modest bearish momentum, with the SMA50 at $13.21 and the SMA200 at $13.59.
Support is identified at $12.36 and resistance at $13.81, while the 30-day price range runs from $11.26 to $13.59. Annualized volatility is 30%.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $11.98 | $12.86 | $16.97 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $12.65 | $15.45 | $19.72 | +20% | Bullish | |
| $13.22 | $16.45 | $21.56 | +28% | Bullish | |
| $13.30 | $16.80 | $22.49 | +31% | Bullish | |
| $15.09 | $19.32 | $26.34 | +50% | Bullish | |
| $16.73 | $21.68 | $30.01 | +69% | Bullish | |
| $18.61 | $24.39 | $34.25 | +90% | Bullish | |
| $21.55 | $28.53 | $40.59 | +122% | Bullish | |
| $21.92 | $29.32 | $42.20 | +128% | Bullish | |
| $22.13 | $29.87 | $43.48 | +132% | Bullish | |
| $32.25 | $45.41 | $69.27 | +253% | Bullish | |
| $55.71 | $84.14 | $137.57 | +554% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | $11.98 | $12.86 | $15.11 | +0.00% |
| August 2026 | $10.84 | $12.69 | $15.17 | -1.35% |
| September 2026 | $11.14 | $13.10 | $15.79 | +3.26% |
| October 2026 | $11.48 | $13.56 | $16.45 | +3.48% |
| November 2026 | $11.49 | $13.61 | $16.60 | +0.41% |
| December 2026 | $11.64 | $13.84 | $16.97 | +1.68% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month BCSF forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s 2026 outlook centres on $12.86, within a $11.98 to $16.97 range. That marks a 0% change versus current levels. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
By 2027, BCSF could reach as high as $19.72, with a base case around $15.45 and support toward $12.65 — roughly +20% from $12.86. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect BCSF to range from $13.22 to $21.56 through 2028. The $16.45 average target implies a +28% move from current prices. That is up +6% on the projected 2027 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The BCSF price prediction for 2029 points to an average of $16.80 (low $13.30, high $22.49) — a potential gain of +31% on today's $12.86. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2030, BCSF is projected to trade between $15.09 and $26.34, averaging $19.32 — a potential gain of +50% from today's $12.86. That is up +15% on the projected 2029 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s 2031 outlook centres on $21.68, within a $16.73 to $30.01 range. That is up +12% on the projected 2030 average. That marks a +69% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2032, BCSF could reach as high as $34.25, with a base case around $24.39 and support toward $18.61 — roughly +90% from $12.86. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Expect BCSF to range from $21.55 to $40.59 through 2033. The $28.53 average target implies a +122% move from current prices. That is up +17% on the projected 2032 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The BCSF price prediction for 2034 points to an average of $29.32 (low $21.92, high $42.20) — a potential gain of +128% on today's $12.86. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
In 2035, BCSF is projected to trade between $22.13 and $43.48, averaging $29.87 — a potential gain of +132% from today's $12.86. That is up +2% on the projected 2034 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Bain Capital Specialty Finance, Inc.'s 2040 outlook centres on $45.41, within a $32.25 to $69.27 range. That is up +52% on the projected 2035 average. That marks a +253% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
By 2050, BCSF could reach as high as $137.57, with a base case around $84.14 and support toward $55.71 — roughly +554% from $12.86. Momentum favours further upside here.
Investing $1,000 in BCSF today (≈ 77.760498 BCSF) could be worth
$6,542.72
+$5,542.72 (+554%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected BCSF price of $84.14 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in BCSFwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in BCSF on Jul 10, 2025 (≈ 64.892927 BCSF) would be worth
$834.52
-$165.48 (-16.5%) today · 0.83× · US Dollar
Based on a BCSF entry price of $15.41 vs. today's $12.86.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $12.64 | $1,017.41 | +1.7% |
| 1 month ago | $12.93 | $994.59 | -0.5% |
| 3 months ago | $12.61 | $1,019.83 | +2.0% |
| 6 months ago | $13.9 | $925.18 | -7.5% |
| 1 year ago | $15.41 | $834.52 | -16.5% |
| All time (5.0y) ago | $15.48 | $830.75 | -16.9% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our BCSF forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $26.00 around 2033.
Implied market cap at $26.00: $1.69B
The multi-year forecast shows a path of rising prices. In 2026 the avg is $12.37; 2027, $14.57; 2028, $15.35; 2029, $16.09; and 2030, $17.78, with ROIs of 17.8%, 58.9%, 82.5%, 109.2% and 43.7% respectively.
From 2031 onward the forecast remains bullish: 2031 avg $19.66 (ROI 58.9%), 2032 avg $22.58 (ROI 82.5%), 2033 avg $25.87 (ROI 109.2%), 2034 avg $26.32 (ROI 112.8%), 2035 avg $27.01 (ROI 118.4%). The outlook for 2040 is avg $39.64 (ROI 220.4%), and for 2050, avg $74.49 (ROI 502.1%), both labeled as BULLISH.
Sentiment shifts from NEUTRAL in 2026–2027 to BULLISH from 2028 onward. The forecasted trajectory comes with an annualized volatility of 30%, underscoring the upside potential alongside meaningful risk.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
2029 avg $16.09; 2030 avg $17.78; min $13.88; max $24.26; ROI 43.7%; sentiment BULLISH.
The forecast shows a sequence of rising averages from 2026 through 2050, with 2027 avg $14.57, 2028 $15.35, 2029 $16.09, 2030 $17.78, 2040 $39.64, and 2050 $74.49. ROIs reach 17.8% by 2027 and up to 502.1% by 2050, with sentiment turning BULLISH from 2028 onward.
The 30-day range is $11.26 to $13.59; current price is $12.37. Support is $12.36 and resistance is $13.81. RSI14 is 40 and the annualized volatility is 30%, indicating bearish near-term momentum.
2040 avg $39.64 (min $28.14, max $60.49) with ROI 220.4% and sentiment BULLISH. 2050 avg $74.49 (min $49.30, max $121.83) with ROI 502.1% and sentiment BULLISH.
Current price $12.37; market cap $802.42M; rank 2705.
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