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Accelerant Holdings is projected to rise to $14.26 by 2027, a +13% move from its current price of $12.64. ARX is currently trading below its 50-day average (a bearish sign). Technical indicators currently lean strong sell.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 7/11/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 13 | $12.21 | $12.65 | $13.11 | +0.08% |
| Jul 14 | $12.04 | $12.66 | $13.31 | +0.17% |
| Jul 15 | $11.91 | $12.67 | $13.48 | +0.25% |
| Jul 16 | $11.81 | $12.68 | $13.62 | +0.33% |
| Jul 17 | $11.72 | $12.69 | $13.74 | +0.41% |
| Jul 18 | $11.64 | $12.70 | $13.86 | +0.50% |
| Jul 19 | $11.57 | $12.71 | $13.97 | +0.58% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $11.57 | $12.71 | $13.97 | +0.58% |
| Week 2 | $11.19 | $12.79 | $14.61 | +1.16% |
| Week 3 | $10.92 | $12.86 | $15.14 | +1.75% |
| Week 4 | $10.71 | $12.94 | $15.62 | +2.34% |
| Week 5 | $10.54 | $13.01 | $16.06 | +2.93% |
| Week 6 | $10.39 | $13.09 | $16.48 | +3.53% |
| Week 7 | $10.26 | $13.16 | $16.89 | +4.13% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Accelerant Holdings, together with its subsidiaries, operates a data-driven risk exchange that connects selected specialty insurance underwriters with risk capital partners. It operates through Exchange Services, MGA Operations, and Underwriting segments. The Exchange Services segment consists of risk exchange, its operating platform that incorporates various technology, data ingestion, and agency operations that serve the needs of its members and risk capital partners.
Its Risk capital partners write premiums directly through the Risk Exchange pay us a fixed-percentage, volume-based fee for sourcing, managing, and monitoring the business they write. The MGA Operations segment includes the fees earned by members, predominantly for originating and underwriting a portfolio of insurance policies, reduced by the expenses associated with providing services. The Underwriting segment is involved in underwriting insurance policies and assumption of reinsurance policies issued or accepted by consolidated insurance and reinsurance companies.
The activities of insurance companies include property and casualty insurance, policy issuance, and reinsurance arrangements. Accelerant Holdings was founded in 2018 and is based in Grand Cayman, Cayman Islands.
Accelerant Holdings (ARX) is a Financial Services asset with a current price of $12.72 and a market cap of $2.78B, ranking it at 1822. The current price sits near a multi-year forecast path that envisions a gradual rise in average prices through 2027–2050, with bullish momentum emerging in later years. In 2026, the forecast shows an average price of $12.72, with a range from $9.36 to $18.07 and neutral sentiment.
A major floor 28.9% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
The nearest floor, 7.3% below — buyers have tended to step in here.
The nearest ceiling, 28.7% above — a clean break opens room to run.
A major ceiling 43.1% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key ARX support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of ARX market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $13.03 | Sell | $12.90 | Sell |
| MA 10 | $12.99 | Sell | $13.01 | Sell |
| MA 20 | $13.05 | Sell | $13.28 | Sell |
| MA 50 | $14.05 | Sell | $13.65 | Sell |
| MA 100 | $13.19 | Sell | $13.83 | Sell |
| MA 200 | $13.63 | Sell | $15.23 | Sell |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 43.23 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 57.16 | Neutral |
| CCI (20) | -91.68 | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -55.12 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | 0.02 | Buy |
| ROC (12) | -3.73 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.27 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 44.88 | Neutral |
| TRIX (15) | -0.44 | Sell |
| Awesome (5,34) | -1.06 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 54.57 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | -0.41 | Sell |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -64.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 12.93 | Sell |
| ADX (14) | 15.74 | Neutral |
| ATR (14) | 0.45 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture is NEUTRAL. RSI14 stands at 40, with the SMA50 at $14.07 and the SMA200 at $13.65, suggesting the near-term price is hovering around its near-term and longer-term averages. The stock shows a support level at $11.72 and a resistance level at $16.35.
Over the next 30 days, the price has a range from $9.98 to $16.20, and annualized volatility is 70%.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $9.36 | $12.64 | $17.83 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $10.57 | $14.26 | $20.76 | +13% | Neutral | |
| $12.80 | $18.22 | $28.11 | +44% | Bullish | |
| $14.20 | $21.15 | $34.12 | +67% | Bullish | |
| $12.66 | $19.63 | $32.87 | +55% | Bullish | |
| $12.66 | $20.38 | $35.23 | +61% | Bullish | |
| $13.04 | $21.77 | $38.72 | +72% | Bullish | |
| $13.16 | $22.72 | $41.47 | +80% | Bullish | |
| $15.81 | $28.23 | $52.73 | +123% | Bullish | |
| $16.81 | $30.98 | $59.13 | +145% | Bullish | |
| $19.61 | $42.16 | $87.92 | +234% | Bullish | |
| $31.20 | $69.33 | $159.46 | +448% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 | $9.36 | $12.64 | $15.42 | +0.00% |
| August 2026 | $11.03 | $13.29 | $16.64 | +5.16% |
| September 2026 | $11.17 | $13.63 | $17.38 | +2.54% |
| October 2026 | $10.66 | $13.14 | $17.02 | -3.57% |
| November 2026 | $10.45 | $13.00 | $17.06 | -1.08% |
| December 2026 | $10.70 | $13.43 | $17.83 | +3.30% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month ARX forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
Accelerant Holdings's 2026 outlook centres on $12.64, within a $9.36 to $17.83 range. That marks a 0% change versus current levels. Price action looks broadly range-bound.
By 2027, ARX could reach as high as $20.76, with a base case around $14.26 and support toward $10.57 — roughly +13% from $12.64. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
Expect ARX to range from $12.80 to $28.11 through 2028. The $18.22 average target implies a +44% move from current prices. That is up +28% on the projected 2027 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The ARX price prediction for 2029 points to an average of $21.15 (low $14.20, high $34.12) — a potential gain of +67% on today's $12.64. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
In 2030, ARX is projected to trade between $12.66 and $32.87, averaging $19.63 — a potential gain of +55% from today's $12.64. That is -7% versus the projected 2029 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Accelerant Holdings's 2031 outlook centres on $20.38, within a $12.66 to $35.23 range. That is up +4% on the projected 2030 average. That marks a +61% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
By 2032, ARX could reach as high as $38.72, with a base case around $21.77 and support toward $13.04 — roughly +72% from $12.64. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect ARX to range from $13.16 to $41.47 through 2033. The $22.72 average target implies a +80% move from current prices. That is up +4% on the projected 2032 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The ARX price prediction for 2034 points to an average of $28.23 (low $15.81, high $52.73) — a potential gain of +123% on today's $12.64. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2035, ARX is projected to trade between $16.81 and $59.13, averaging $30.98 — a potential gain of +145% from today's $12.64. That is up +10% on the projected 2034 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Accelerant Holdings's 2040 outlook centres on $42.16, within a $19.61 to $87.92 range. That is up +36% on the projected 2035 average. That marks a +234% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2050, ARX could reach as high as $159.46, with a base case around $69.33 and support toward $31.20 — roughly +448% from $12.64. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Investing $1,000 in ARX today (≈ 79.113924 ARX) could be worth
$5,484.88
+$4,484.88 (+448%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected ARX price of $69.33 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in ARXwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in ARX on Jul 24, 2025 (≈ 37.735849 ARX) would be worth
$476.98
-$523.02 (-52.3%) today · 0.48× · US Dollar
Based on a ARX entry price of $26.5 vs. today's $12.64.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $13.77 | $917.94 | -8.2% |
| 1 month ago | $14.12 | $895.18 | -10.5% |
| 3 months ago | $12.77 | $989.82 | -1.0% |
| 6 months ago | $15.35 | $823.45 | -17.7% |
| All time ago | $26.5 | $476.98 | -52.3% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our ARX forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $25.00 around 2034.
Implied market cap at $25.00: $2.82B
The multi-year forecast paints a bullish arc from 2027 onward, with the average price rising alongside higher ROIs. In 2027 the avg is $14.40 with ROI 13.2% and sentiment NEUTRAL, followed by 2028 avg $18.53 (ROI 45.7%) and 2029 avg $21.54 (ROI 69.3%). For 2030, the avg is $19.87 with ROI 56.2%.
The outlook continues to strengthen through 2031–2035, with 2031 avg $20.68 (ROI 62.5%), 2032 avg $22.12 (ROI 73.9%), 2033 avg $23.04 (ROI 81.1%), 2034 avg $28.84 (ROI 126.8%), and 2035 avg $31.68 (ROI 149%). By 2040, the average price rises to $43.24 (ROI 239.9%), and by 2050 the average reaches $70.76 (ROI 456.3%), with a max forecast of $162.74. These figures point to a steady long-run appreciation under bullish conditions, though they remain estimates rather than guarantees and depend on market factors outside any single forecast.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
2030 forecast — min $12.67, avg $19.87, max $33.62; ROI 56.2%; sentiment BULLISH.
The forecast shows a path of rising averages and bullish sentiment from 2027 onward, with 2030 avg $19.87 and ROI 56.2% and 2040 avg $43.24 with ROI 239.9%, culminating in 2050 avg $70.76 and ROI 456.3%. These are estimates and not guarantees.
Yes, within the forecast, the 2050 max is $162.74 and the 2040 max is $91.50, so reaching $100 is within the projected range, but not guaranteed.
For 2026, the min is $9.36, the avg is $12.72, and the max is $18.07, with a 30-day range of $9.98 to $16.20 and current price $12.72.
Current price is $12.72, market cap is $2.78B, and it ranks 1822.
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