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Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. is projected to rise to $13.15 by 2027, a +20% move from its current price of $10.93. ARI is currently trading above its 50-day average (a bullish sign). Technical indicators currently lean sell.
A data-driven summary — not financial advice. See the full breakdown below.
Live market data via Yahoo Finance · updated 5/28/2026
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 29 | $10.84 | $10.93 | $11.03 | +0.02% |
| May 30 | $10.80 | $10.94 | $11.07 | +0.05% |
| May 31 | $10.77 | $10.94 | $11.10 | +0.07% |
| Jun 1 | $10.75 | $10.94 | $11.13 | +0.10% |
| Jun 2 | $10.73 | $10.94 | $11.16 | +0.12% |
| Jun 3 | $10.71 | $10.95 | $11.18 | +0.14% |
| Jun 4 | $10.70 | $10.95 | $11.20 | +0.17% |
| Period | Min | Prediction | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Week 1 | $10.70 | $10.95 | $11.20 | +0.17% |
| Week 2 | $10.62 | $10.97 | $11.33 | +0.33% |
| Week 3 | $10.56 | $10.98 | $11.43 | +0.50% |
| Week 4 | $10.51 | $11.00 | $11.52 | +0.67% |
| Week 5 | $10.47 | $11.02 | $11.60 | +0.84% |
| Week 6 | $10.44 | $11.04 | $11.68 | +1.01% |
| Week 7 | $10.41 | $11.06 | $11.75 | +1.17% |
Short-term targets derived from the forecast trend and recent volatility. Highly uncertain — not financial advice.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust that originates, acquires, invests in, and manages commercial first mortgage loans, subordinate financings, and other commercial real estate-related debt investments.
The company is qualified as a REIT under the Internal Revenue Code. As a REIT, it would not be subject to federal income taxes, if the company distributes at least 90% of its REIT taxable income to its stockholders. Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc. was incorporated in 2009 and is based in New York, New York.
ARI trades in the Real Estate sector and is currently priced at $10.94.
Its market cap is $1.45B and its market rank is 2256.
The overall price outlook reflects a rising long-term trajectory in the forecast, with the average price forecast moving from $10.94 in 2026 to $88.94 in 2050 and the associated ROIs climbing to 713 by 2050.
A major floor 9.2% below — a decisive break under it would weaken the trend.
Price is testing support right now (1.7% away) — a key level to hold.
Price is pressing into resistance (2.7% away) — a breakout level to watch.
A major ceiling 4.7% above — clearing it would confirm fresh momentum.
Key ARI support and resistance from recent price action — levels where the trend has historically paused or reversed. Percentages are the distance from the current price.
A snapshot of ARI market posture derived from its technical indicators and recent volatility. Higher trend and alignment lean bullish; higher risk means larger swings.
Technical Analysis
Indicators computed on daily closing prices.
| Period | SMA | Action | EMA | Action |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MA 5 | $10.97 | Sell | $10.95 | Sell |
| MA 10 | $10.93 | Sell | $10.94 | Sell |
| MA 20 | $10.93 | Sell | $10.94 | Sell |
| MA 50 | $10.82 | Buy | $10.84 | Buy |
| MA 100 | $10.61 | Buy | $10.66 | Buy |
| MA 200 | $10.39 | Buy | $10.42 | Buy |
| Name | Value | Action |
|---|---|---|
| RSI (14) | 50.46 | Neutral |
| Stoch RSI (14) | 50.51 | Neutral |
| CCI (20) | -3.33 | Neutral |
| Williams %R (14) | -44.00 | Info |
| MACD (12,26,9) | -0.01 | Sell |
| ROC (12) | -0.64 | Sell |
| Bollinger %B (20,2) | 0.49 | Neutral |
| Stochastic %K (14) | 56.00 | Neutral |
| TRIX (15) | 0.03 | Buy |
| Awesome (5,34) | -0.01 | Sell |
| Ultimate (7,14,28) | 54.02 | Neutral |
| Momentum (10) | 0.14 | Buy |
| Aroon Osc (25) | -12.00 | Sell |
| Hull MA (9) | 11.00 | Sell |
| ADX (14) | 8.18 | Neutral |
| ATR (14) | 0.09 | Info |
The 30-day technical picture is bullish.
RSI14 is 50, with a SMA50 of $10.80 and a SMA200 of $10.38. Current support is at $10.74 and resistance at $11.22, with the 30-day range between $10.32 and $11.59. Annualized volatility is 20%.
| Year | Min | Avg | Max | ROI | Sentiment |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $9.76 | $10.93 | $14.71 | 0% | Neutral | |
| $10.74 | $13.15 | $16.85 | +20% | Bullish | |
| $11.56 | $14.41 | $18.95 | +32% | Bullish | |
| $12.12 | $15.34 | $20.58 | +40% | Bullish | |
| $13.42 | $17.21 | $23.51 | +57% | Bullish | |
| $16.29 | $21.14 | $29.32 | +93% | Bullish | |
| $18.33 | $24.05 | $33.83 | +120% | Bullish | |
| $19.85 | $26.32 | $37.50 | +141% | Bullish | |
| $20.66 | $27.66 | $39.87 | +153% | Bullish | |
| $21.41 | $28.94 | $42.19 | +165% | Bullish | |
| $32.92 | $46.40 | $70.85 | +325% | Bullish | |
| $56.40 | $85.25 | $139.49 | +680% | Bullish |
Current year — the forecast is anchored to the live price, so ROI shows 0%.
| Month | Min | Avg | Max | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 2026 | $9.76 | $10.93 | $12.85 | +0.00% |
| June 2026 | $9.65 | $11.26 | $13.39 | +3.03% |
| July 2026 | $9.52 | $11.17 | $13.41 | -0.81% |
| August 2026 | $9.53 | $11.23 | $13.58 | +0.51% |
| September 2026 | $9.76 | $11.55 | $14.05 | +2.87% |
| October 2026 | $9.79 | $11.62 | $14.21 | +0.64% |
| November 2026 | $9.72 | $11.57 | $14.21 | -0.49% |
| December 2026 | $9.98 | $11.92 | $14.71 | +3.02% |
Click any year to see its month-by-month ARI forecast. Min / Avg / Max are a bear / base / bull scenario; ROI is the projected move from the current price. Change is the month-over-month move in the average. Estimates, not guarantees.
The ARI price prediction for 2026 points to an average of $10.93 (low $9.76, high $14.71) — a potential gain of 0% on today's $10.93. A consolidation phase looks the most probable path here.
In 2027, ARI is projected to trade between $10.74 and $16.85, averaging $13.15 — a potential gain of +20% from today's $10.93. That is up +20% on the projected 2026 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s 2028 outlook centres on $14.41, within a $11.56 to $18.95 range. That is up +10% on the projected 2027 average. That marks a +32% change versus current levels. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
By 2029, ARI could reach as high as $20.58, with a base case around $15.34 and support toward $12.12 — roughly +40% from $10.93. Momentum favours further upside here.
Expect ARI to range from $13.42 to $23.51 through 2030. The $17.21 average target implies a +57% move from current prices. That is up +12% on the projected 2029 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
The ARI price prediction for 2031 points to an average of $21.14 (low $16.29, high $29.32) — a potential gain of +93% on today's $10.93. Momentum favours further upside here.
In 2032, ARI is projected to trade between $18.33 and $33.83, averaging $24.05 — a potential gain of +120% from today's $10.93. That is up +14% on the projected 2031 average. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Apollo Commercial Real Estate Finance, Inc.'s 2033 outlook centres on $26.32, within a $19.85 to $37.50 range. That is up +9% on the projected 2032 average. That marks a +141% change versus current levels. Momentum favours further upside here.
By 2034, ARI could reach as high as $39.87, with a base case around $27.66 and support toward $20.66 — roughly +153% from $10.93. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
Expect ARI to range from $21.41 to $42.19 through 2035. The $28.94 average target implies a +165% move from current prices. That is up +5% on the projected 2034 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
The ARI price prediction for 2040 points to an average of $46.40 (low $32.92, high $70.85) — a potential gain of +325% on today's $10.93. Buyers look set to stay in control over this stretch.
In 2050, ARI is projected to trade between $56.40 and $139.49, averaging $85.25 — a potential gain of +680% from today's $10.93. That is up +84% on the projected 2040 average. Momentum favours further upside here.
Investing $1,000 in ARI today (≈ 91.491308 ARI) could be worth
$7,799.36
+$6,799.36 (+680%) by 2050 · US Dollar
Based on the average projected ARI price of $85.25 in 2050.
Based on the base (average) forecast scenario. FX rates are indicative. Estimates only — not financial advice.
See what a past investment in ARIwould be worth at today's price.
$1,000 invested in ARI on May 27, 2025 (≈ 102.040814 ARI) would be worth
$1,115.31
+$115.31 (+11.5%) today · 1.12× · US Dollar
Based on a ARI entry price of $9.8 vs. today's $10.93.
| Invested | Entry price | Value today | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 week ago | $10.98 | $995.45 | -0.5% |
| 1 month ago | $11.09 | $985.57 | -1.4% |
| 3 months ago | $10.72 | $1,019.59 | +2.0% |
| 6 months ago | $10.13 | $1,078.97 | +7.9% |
| 1 year ago | $9.8 | $1,115.31 | +11.5% |
| All time (5.0y) ago | $15.92 | $686.56 | -31.3% |
Past performance from historical market data — it does not predict future results. FX rates are indicative. Not financial advice.
Enter a price to see how it sits against our ARI forecast.
Our base-case forecast reaches $22.00 around 2032.
Implied market cap at $22.00: $2.92B
Over the multi-year horizon, the forecast shows a bullish trajectory with rising averages and expanding ROIs. By 2027 the average price is forecast at $13.23 with ROI 20.9 and bullish sentiment, accelerating toward 2030 (avg $17.49, ROI 59.8) and 2040 (avg $47.76, ROI 336.5). The 2050 forecast peaks at an average of $88.94 with ROI 713 and bullish sentiment.
The 2026 forecast sits at an average of $10.94 with neutral sentiment, providing a near-term reference point. These figures are estimates and not guarantees.
Tap a question to reveal the answer.
Avg $17.49; min $13.63; max $23.89; ROI 59.8; sentiment BULLISH.
Forecasts show bullish sentiment from 2027 onward with rising average prices and ROI, reaching 713 by 2050; however these are estimates and not guarantees.
The max forecast by 2050 is $145.54, so a $100 threshold could be surpassed by 2050; 2040 max is $72.93.
Avg $13.23; min $10.81; max $16.96; ROI 20.9; sentiment BULLISH.
Avg $47.76; min $33.88; max $72.93; ROI 336.5; sentiment BULLISH.
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